Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Benevento |
40.25% | 27.01% | 32.74% |
Both teams to score 50.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.18% | 54.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.88% | 76.12% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.29% | 26.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.03% | 61.97% |
Benevento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.73% | 31.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.39% | 67.61% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Benevento |
1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |