Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 75.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 3-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Parma |
75.19% | 14.7% | 10.12% |
Both teams to score 55.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.06% | 29.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.87% | 51.13% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.33% | 6.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.26% | 24.74% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.82% | 40.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.19% | 76.81% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Parma |
2-0 @ 9.83% 2-1 @ 8.96% 3-0 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 7.26% 4-0 @ 6% 4-1 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 3.69% 5-0 @ 3.25% 5-1 @ 2.97% 4-2 @ 2.5% 6-0 @ 1.47% 5-2 @ 1.35% 6-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 4.14% Total : 75.19% | 1-1 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 4.09% 0-0 @ 2.68% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.7% | 1-2 @ 3.02% 0-1 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-2 @ 1.12% 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.38% Total : 10.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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