Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
45.36% ( 0.05) | 24.81% ( 0) | 29.83% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.22% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.3% ( -0.05) | 46.69% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.04% ( -0.05) | 68.96% ( 0.04) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.35% ( -0) | 20.64% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.78% ( -0) | 53.22% ( -0) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.85% ( -0.06) | 29.14% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.92% ( -0.08) | 65.08% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 45.36% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |