Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
33.99% ( -0.07) | 26.76% ( -0.02) | 39.25% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 51.46% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.42% ( 0.08) | 53.57% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.92% ( 0.06) | 75.08% ( -0.07) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.19% ( -0.01) | 29.81% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.11% ( -0.01) | 65.88% ( 0.01) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.31% ( 0.09) | 26.68% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.06% ( 0.12) | 61.93% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 33.99% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |