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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
2 - 2
Al Hazem

Benzema (26'), Kadesh (81')
Al-Farhan (49'), Al-Ghamdi (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Al-Thani (63'), Selemani (86')
Abusabaan (58'), Viana (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Hazem, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ittihad 1-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Monday, October 23 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Hazem 4-3 Al Raed
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 3-1 Al Hazem

While the visitors did manage to claim their first league win last week, they face a major step up in class in this match and are likely to struggle to take anything off the defending champions. Al Hazem have shipped eight goals in their last two away matches, and we feel they may concede a few more here as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Hazem
63.35% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 21.44% (0.0030000000000001 0) 15.21%
Both teams to score 47.34% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)48.79% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)14.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)43.01% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Al Hazem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.54% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)44.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.5% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)80.5% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 63.33%
    Al Hazem 15.21%
    Draw 21.44%
Al IttihadDrawAl Hazem
1-0 @ 12.55%
2-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 63.33%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 21.44%
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.13%
0-2 @ 2.16%
1-3 @ 1.12%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 15.21%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Hazem

Al Ittihad
100%
Draw
0.0%
Al Hazem
0.0%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal32293096217590
2Al-Nassr32253494385678
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli31177761342758
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun311410748341452
5Al Ittihad32156115749851
6Al Ettifaq32111294233945
7Al Fayha321110114350-743
8Al Fateh32119125351242
9Al ShababAl Shabab31118124238441
10Damac321010124240240
11Al Khaleej32910133443-937
12Al RaedAl Raed3298154048-835
13Al WahdaAl Wahda32105174357-1435
14Al Tai3287173359-2631
15Al Riyadh3179152853-2530
16Al Okhdood3285193051-2129
17Abha3185183479-4529
18Al Hazem31311173072-4220


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