Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.24%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Benfica |
18.3% | 23.44% | 58.27% |
Both teams to score 47.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.23% | 51.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.46% | 73.54% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.71% | 42.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.31% | 78.7% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.49% | 17.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.98% | 48.03% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 6.37% 2-1 @ 4.78% 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-1 @ 1.37% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.3% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.43% | 0-1 @ 12.9% 0-2 @ 11.24% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-3 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 5.62% 0-4 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.42% 2-4 @ 1.05% 0-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.55% Total : 58.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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