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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Santa Clara

Maritimo
3 - 1
Santa Clara

Boateng (61' og.), Winck (72' pen.), Liza (78')
Junior (32'), Costa (34'), Mosquera (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Silva (18')
Boateng (20'), Messi (21'), Simao (21'), Batista (27'), Misao (69'), Quintilla (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions
Last Game: Portimonense 2-1 Maritimo
Saturday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Santa Clara

All competitions
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-3 Famalicao
Sunday, February 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Maritimo 2-1 Santa Clara

 With just two points separating the sides in the league table, Saturday's game should be a real cracker and Maritimo and Santa Clara continue their race to beat the drop. Given that Gomes's side will have the extra support of the home fans, we are backing them to do just enough to secure a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawSanta Clara
36.37% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 29.31% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 34.31% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 43.97% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.1% (0.093000000000004 0.09)62.9% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.6% (0.068000000000001 0.07)82.4% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (0.087999999999994 0.09)33% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.41% (0.096 0.1)69.59% (-0.095000000000013 -0.1)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.63% (0.031000000000006 0.03)34.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92% (0.035 0.04)71.08% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 36.37%
    Santa Clara 34.31%
    Draw 29.31%
MaritimoDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 12.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.37%
1-1 @ 13.43%
0-0 @ 11.34% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.31%
0-1 @ 12.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 34.31%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Santa Clara

Maritimo
74.2%
Draw
19.4%
Santa Clara
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 6pm
Santa Clara
2-1
Maritimo
Allano (52' pen.), Babi (60')
Xadas (36')
Mendes (15')
Apr 23, 2022 6pm
Santa Clara
2-2
Maritimo
Tagawa (5', 33')
Carvalho (14'), Villanueva (84')
Alipour (64'), Winck (85')
Pelagio (50'), Costa (51'), Mendes (70')
Dec 11, 2021 3.30pm
Maritimo
4-1
Santa Clara
Joel (18' pen.), Henrique (38'), Costa (60'), Guitane (69' pen.)
Andrade (66')
Andrade (1' og.)
Nene (48'), Mansur (68'), Carvalho (90+1')
Feb 8, 2021 7pm
Maritimo
1-2
Santa Clara
Joel (61' pen.)
Pelagio (72')
Crysan (74'), Carlos (78')
Villanueva (59'), Carlos (79'), Mansur (90')
Sep 20, 2020 4pm
Santa Clara
2-0
Maritimo
Thiago (57', 72')
Thiago (85'), Nene (90+6')

Correa (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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