Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Leicester City |
29.21% | 24.8% | 45.99% |
Both teams to score 55.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.99% | 47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.75% | 69.25% |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.26% | 29.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.19% | 65.8% |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.5% | 20.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.01% | 52.98% |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 7.39% 2-1 @ 7.1% 2-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.27% Total : 29.21% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-2 @ 7.66% 1-3 @ 4.91% 0-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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