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Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2022 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Southampton logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Southampton

Ramsey (41')
Coutinho (45+4'), Ramsey (58'), Young (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Man City
Saturday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Southampton

There is not a huge difference between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting an even game on Friday night. Both managers would likely be content with a draw if it were offered ahead of kickoff, and we can see a stalemate taking place here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
40.48% (-0.206 -0.21) 26.29% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 33.22% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 52.77% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (-0.153 -0.15)51.83% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41% (-0.132 -0.13)73.58% (0.134 0.13)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.178 -0.18)25.21% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (-0.247 -0.25)59.95% (0.249 0.25)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56% (0.033999999999999 0.03)65.44% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 40.47%
    Southampton 33.22%
    Draw 26.29%
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.47%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.22%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Southampton

Aston Villa
54.1%
Draw
26.1%
Southampton
19.9%
357
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Aston Villa
4-0
Southampton
Watkins (9'), Luiz (44'), Coutinho (52'), Ings (54')
Watkins (74')

Romeu (68')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Nov 1, 2020 12pm
Aston Villa
3-4
Southampton
Mings (62'), Watkins (90+3' pen.), Grealish (90+7')
Cash (43')
Vestergaard (20'), Ward-Prowse (33', 45'), Ings (58')
Ward-Prowse (12'), Diallo (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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