National League North | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton2 - 0Scarborough Ath
Smith (53'), Cantrill (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Scarborough Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 2-2 Alfreton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-0 Telford
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
22
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
44.39% ( 0.31) | 24.95% ( -0.07) | 30.65% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 56.19% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.05% ( 0.21) | 46.95% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.8% ( 0.2) | 69.2% ( -0.2) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.82% ( 0.23) | 21.18% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.94% ( 0.35) | 54.06% ( -0.35) |
Scarborough Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% ( -0.05) | 28.71% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.46% ( -0.06) | 64.54% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Alfreton Town 44.4%
Scarborough Athletic 30.65%
Draw 24.94%
Alfreton Town | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.4% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.65% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-18 19:51:07
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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