Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Inter Miami |
68.57% ( -1.51) | 19.01% ( 0.78) | 12.42% ( 0.73) |
Both teams to score 47.65% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.61% ( -1.61) | 44.39% ( 1.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.24% ( -1.58) | 66.76% ( 1.58) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.13% ( -0.86) | 11.87% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.83% ( -1.86) | 37.17% ( 1.87) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.07% ( 0.21) | 45.93% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.33% ( 0.16) | 81.67% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2% ( -0.22) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.34% Total : 68.57% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.01% | 0-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |