Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Dallas | 20 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Minnesota United | 20 | 2 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 2 | 27 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Sporting Kansas City | 21 | -12 | 20 |
9 | Toronto | 20 | -12 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 18 | -15 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | DC United |
59.25% ( -1.16) | 22.44% ( 0.68) | 18.31% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 50.62% ( -1.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.26% ( -2.12) | 47.74% ( 2.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.07% ( -1.99) | 69.93% ( 2) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.25% ( -1.09) | 15.75% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.14% ( -2.06) | 44.86% ( 2.06) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.08% ( -0.69) | 39.92% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.42% ( -0.64) | 76.58% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.22% Total : 59.25% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |