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Major League Soccer
Sep 18, 2022 at 3.30am UK
The Home Depot Center
Colorado Rapids

LA Galaxy
4 - 1
Colorado

Brugman (22', 52'), Edwards (28'), Hernandez (31')
Costa (62')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Nicholson (90+1')
Gutierrez (26'), Abubakar (34'), Beitashour (60'), Barrios (63'), Max (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 2-1 Earthquakes
Thursday, September 15 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 Colorado Rapids

Conventional wisdom would suggest that the Galaxy should win this game given their superior quality on paper when compared to the Rapids, not to mention how poor the Burgundy Boys have been defensively on the road. However, Colorado seem to be finding their groove and growing in confidence, which is the opposite for the Galaxy, who make it far too easy for opposing teams to penetrate their defence of a consistent basis. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 21.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawColorado Rapids
56.78% (-0.253 -0.25) 21.68% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 21.54% (0.169 0.17)
Both teams to score 58.54% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.17% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)39.82% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.82% (-0.179 -0.18)62.18% (0.182 0.18)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)13.88% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.72% (-0.268 -0.27)41.28% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (0.055999999999997 0.06)32.03% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (0.064 0.06)68.49% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 56.78%
    Colorado Rapids 21.54%
    Draw 21.68%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawColorado Rapids
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 56.78%
1-1 @ 9.99% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.68%
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.06% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 21.54%

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs Colorado

Los Angeles Galaxy
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Colorado Rapids
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 2am
Colorado
2-0
LA Galaxy
Rubio (20'), Zardes (75')
Wilson (68'), Warner (90+2')

Raveloson (39'), Araujo (62'), DePuy (68'), Gasper (78')
Sep 11, 2021 8.30pm
Colorado
1-1
LA Galaxy
Barrios (66')
Galvan (45'), Barrios (79'), Warner (87')
Grandsir (80')
Williams (36'), Villafana (89')
Aug 18, 2021 3.30am
LA Galaxy
1-2
Colorado
Raveloson (34')
Grandsir (62')
Lewis (13' pen.), Shinyashiki (73')
Warner (29'), Wilson (48'), Price (69')
Oct 11, 2020 12am
Sep 20, 2020 3.30am
LA Galaxy
0-2
Colorado

DePuy (63'), Araujo (72')
Araujo (75')
Bassett (40'), Lewis (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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