Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Sporting Kansas City | 20 | -12 | 19 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 19 | -9 | 17 |
10 | DC United | 17 | -15 | 17 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Houston Dynamo | 20 | -3 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 19 | -10 | 19 |
8 | Sporting Kansas City | 20 | -12 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Toronto |
54.64% ( 0.38) | 24.12% ( -0.09) | 21.25% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 50.14% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.23% ( 0.02) | 50.76% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.34% ( 0.02) | 72.66% ( -0.02) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.52% ( 0.15) | 18.47% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.32% ( 0.26) | 49.68% ( -0.27) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.5% ( -0.29) | 38.5% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.75% ( -0.27) | 75.25% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Toronto |
1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 54.63% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |