Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Feb 27, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Troyes1 - 1Marseille
We said: Troyes 0-3 Marseille
After a minor blip at the Orange Velodrome, Marseille responded in perfect fashion in midweek and should have no problem replicating such a performance against a leaky Troyes backline. Sampaoli may be forced into some alterations after the long journey back from Baku, but with an enviable array of talent on the bench ready and waiting, a Troyes side low on confidence ought to be humbled. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Marseille |
| 27.34% | 25.73% | 46.93% |
| Both teams to score 51.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
