Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Monaco |
24.71% | 23.57% | 51.72% |
Both teams to score 56.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.11% | 44.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.75% | 67.25% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.93% | 32.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.46% | 68.54% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.62% | 17.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.21% | 47.79% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 6.34% 2-1 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 3.6% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.71% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-2 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 5.66% 0-3 @ 4.98% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.48% 0-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.81% Total : 51.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |