Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Lyon | 6 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 13 |
6 | Lille | 7 | -1 | 10 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Nantes | 6 | -2 | 6 |
14 | Reims | 6 | -3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Nantes |
40.38% ( 0.81) | 27.38% ( 0.18) | 32.23% ( -0.99) |
Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.63% ( -0.87) | 56.37% ( 0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.61% ( -0.71) | 77.39% ( 0.71) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.64% ( 0.04) | 27.36% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.17% ( 0.05) | 62.82% ( -0.05) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.6% ( -1.12) | 32.39% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.09% ( -1.28) | 68.91% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.37% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |