Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Auxerre |
43.66% ( 0.13) | 25.52% ( -0.08) | 30.82% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 54.37% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% ( 0.29) | 49.35% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% ( 0.26) | 71.4% ( -0.27) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.46% ( 0.18) | 22.54% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.88% ( 0.27) | 56.12% ( -0.28) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.19% ( 0.11) | 29.8% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.11% ( 0.13) | 65.88% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Auxerre |
1-0 @ 10% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 30.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |