Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
44.67% ( 2.83) | 25.42% ( -0.42) | 29.91% ( -2.4) |
Both teams to score 54.25% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.7% ( 0.88) | 49.3% ( -0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.65% ( 0.79) | 71.35% ( -0.78) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% ( 1.73) | 22.04% ( -1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% ( 2.55) | 55.38% ( -2.55) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.59% ( -1.19) | 30.41% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.39% ( -1.44) | 66.61% ( 1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.38) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.43) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.31% Total : 44.66% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.57) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.51) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.27) Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |