Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atlas 0-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 28 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Sunday, April 28 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Toluca 0-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 28 at 2am in Liga MX
Sunday, April 28 at 2am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match.
Result | ||
CD Guadalajara | Draw | Toluca |
48.6% ( -0.09) | 24.18% ( -0.01) | 27.22% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 56.48% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.48% ( 0.12) | 45.52% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.15% ( 0.12) | 67.85% ( -0.12) |
CD Guadalajara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.18% ( 0.01) | 18.82% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.75% ( 0.02) | 50.25% ( -0.02) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.58% ( 0.14) | 30.42% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.37% ( 0.17) | 66.62% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
CD Guadalajara 48.6%
Toluca 27.22%
Draw 24.17%
CD Guadalajara | Draw | Toluca |
1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 48.6% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.22% |
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 3.10am
Sep 4, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 12
Toluca
0-0
Guadalajara
Apr 10, 2022 1am
Gameweek 13
Toluca
1-1
Guadalajara
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-14 12:49:43
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 40 |
2 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 33 |
3 | Tigres | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
4 | PumasPumas | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
5 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
8 | Club Leon | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 23 |
10 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
11 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
12 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 22 |
13 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
14 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
15 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 18 |
16 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 17 |
17 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 17 |
18 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
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