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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.99%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Barrow |
30.45% ( -2.14) | 29.02% ( 0.03) | 40.53% ( 2.11) |
Both teams to score 43.94% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.45% ( -0.55) | 62.55% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.86% ( -0.4) | 82.14% ( 0.41) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.02% ( -1.89) | 36.98% ( 1.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.23% ( -1.93) | 73.77% ( 1.93) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.73% ( 0.98) | 30.27% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.55% ( 1.16) | 66.45% ( -1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Barrow |
1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.82% Total : 30.45% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.01% | 0-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.62) 0-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.58) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.38% Total : 40.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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