Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
25.5% ( 0.54) | 20.4% ( 0.08) | 54.09% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 68.56% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.01% ( 0.16) | 28.98% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.04% ( 0.2) | 49.95% ( -0.2) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.1% ( 0.45) | 22.89% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.35% ( 0.66) | 56.64% ( -0.66) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.91% ( -0.11) | 11.08% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.54% ( -0.25) | 35.46% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.5% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.4% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.64% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.69% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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