EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadium mk
MK Dons3 - 2Northampton
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between MK Dons and Northampton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newport 0-0 MK Dons
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Northampton Town |
47.18% ( -0.22) | 25.1% ( 0.06) | 27.72% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 53.84% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.82% ( -0.15) | 49.18% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.75% ( -0.14) | 71.24% ( 0.14) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.13% ( -0.16) | 20.87% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.43% ( -0.25) | 53.57% ( 0.25) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% ( 0.04) | 31.96% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.58% ( 0.05) | 68.42% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons 47.18%
Northampton Town 27.72%
Draw 25.1%
MK Dons | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 47.18% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.72% |
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 3, 2020 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-23 03:51:30
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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