Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Boavista |
52.84% ( -0.09) | 23.98% ( 0.04) | 23.18% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.04% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.85% ( -0.15) | 48.14% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.69% ( -0.14) | 70.3% ( 0.14) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.82% ( -0.09) | 18.17% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.84% ( -0.15) | 49.16% ( 0.15) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.82% ( -0.04) | 35.17% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.07% ( -0.05) | 71.93% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 52.84% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 23.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |