Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Celta Vigo |
43.34% ( 0.02) | 27.8% ( 0) | 28.86% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.53% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.04% ( -0.02) | 58.97% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.56% ( -0.01) | 79.44% ( 0.02) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% ( 0) | 26.99% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.67% ( 0) | 62.33% ( 0) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.73% ( -0.02) | 36.27% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.95% ( -0.02) | 73.05% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 43.34% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 9.93% 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 28.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |