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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium MK
Cheltenham Town

MK Dons
3 - 1
Cheltenham

Parrott (26', 85'), Eisa (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Boyle (89')
May (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Having lost once in their last five games in all competitions, MK Dons will be confident of collecting all three points on Wednesday, and we think that they will profit against a Cheltenham side that are currently on a poor run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
61.4%21.98%16.63%
Both teams to score 48.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5%48.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37%70.63%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7%15.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.98%44.02%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.59%42.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.21%78.79%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 61.39%
    Cheltenham Town 16.63%
    Draw 21.97%
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.18%
2-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 6.14%
4-0 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.63%
5-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.24%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 10.44%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.97%
0-1 @ 5.57%
1-2 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 16.63%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Cheltenham

MK Dons
90.6%
Draw
9.4%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
1-1
MK Dons
Joseph (14')
Blair (39'), Hussey (45'), Freestone (84')
Boateng (87')
Darling (61'), Boateng (87')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Cheltenham
3-1
MK Dons
Atangana (14'), Barnett (44'), Clements (86')
Clements (50')
Aneke (22')
Aneke (33'), Cisse (57')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
3-0
Cheltenham
Aneke (34'), Healey (84'), Simpson (99' pen.)

Maddox (98')
Jan 31, 2009 3pm
Cheltenham
3-5
MK Dons
Spencer (68', 75', 81' pen.)
Owusu (37')
Johnson (17', 71'), Wilbraham (44', 45', 59')
Gueret (68'), Stirling (80'), Puncheon (90')
Oct 25, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
3-1
Cheltenham
Gerba (9', 80'), Baldock (55' pen.)
Stirling (25')
Gueret (30')
Caines (26')
Owusu (54'), Westlake (71')
Owusu (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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