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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 64.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 14.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.95%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Barnsley |
14.88% ( -0.11) | 21.01% ( -0.19) | 64.11% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 47.9% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.38% ( 0.59) | 47.62% ( -0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.18% ( 0.55) | 69.82% ( -0.54) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.8% ( 0.21) | 44.2% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.71% ( 0.17) | 80.29% ( -0.16) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.85% ( 0.29) | 14.15% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.18% ( 0.56) | 41.82% ( -0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.42% Total : 14.88% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.01% | 0-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 11.95% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 3.81% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 3.11% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 64.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |