Derry

1 - 2

Shamrock

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Derry City win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.