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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Real Sociedad logo

Valencia
1 - 0
Real Sociedad

Zubeldia (40' og.)
Foulquier (11'), Musah (45'), Castillejo (55'), Lato (67'), Mamardashvili (69'), Paulista (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zubimendi (4'), Rico (35'), Fernandez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Valencia
Monday, February 20 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-2 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad have won eight of their 11 away league matches this season, drawing just once, but we just have a feeling that Valencia could secure a share of the spoils here. Los Che's losing run is going to end at some stage, and an entertaining contest at Mestalla could finish in a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Sociedad
31.13% (0.055 0.05) 26.81% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 42.06% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.45% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.52% (0.097000000000001 0.1)54.48% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.16% (0.079999999999998 0.08)75.84% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (0.087999999999994 0.09)32.2% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (0.101 0.1)68.68% (-0.11 -0.11)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (0.022999999999996 0.02)25.59% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (0.030999999999999 0.03)60.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 31.13%
    Real Sociedad 42.06%
    Draw 26.8%
ValenciaDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.21% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.13%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.06%

How you voted: Valencia vs Real Sociedad

Valencia
15.0%
Draw
15.0%
Real Sociedad
70.1%
127
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 3.15pm
Feb 6, 2022 1pm
Nov 21, 2021 8pm
Real Sociedad
0-0
Valencia

Guevara (50'), Rico (87'), Turrientes (90+2'), Gorosabel (90+6')
Elustondo (76')

Gaya (56'), Foulquier (70'), Wass (76'), Musah (84'), Koindredi (87'), Costa (90'), Alderete (90+4')
Apr 11, 2021 3.15pm
Valencia
2-2
Real Sociedad
Wass (60' pen.), Paulista (73')
Cheryshev (42'), Paulista (47'), Musah (68'), Wass (77'), Gomez (78')
Gomez (80')
Guevara (33'), Isak (45')
Uranga Luluaga (7'), Portu (45'), Fernandez (58'), Monreal (66')
Sep 29, 2020 6pm
Real Sociedad
0-1
Valencia

Zubimendi (35')
Gomez (75')
Kondogbia (17'), Gomez (45+2'), Wass (60'), Gaya (61'), Correia (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
18CadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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