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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Elche

Valladolid
2 - 1
Elche

Sanchez (40'), Mesa (46')
Sanchez (45'), Fernandez (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Josan (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Valladolid
Sunday, October 30 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-1 Getafe
Monday, October 31 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Valladolid 2-1 Elche

Things are becoming increasingly desperate for Elche, who have two games against recently-promoted sides to come before the World Cup break. Pacheta's side are riding a wave of home form at the moment though, and while we can see the struggling visitors scoring at the Jose Zorrilla on Saturday, we think that they will struggle to hold on for a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Valladolid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Valladolid.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawElche
65.56% (0.061000000000007 0.06) 20.72% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 13.71% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.86% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.22% (0.164 0.16)48.77% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.12% (0.148 0.15)70.88% (-0.149 -0.15)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (0.070000000000007 0.07)14.07% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.33% (0.139 0.14)41.67% (-0.141 -0.14)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.38% (0.076000000000001 0.08)46.62% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.8% (0.058 0.06)82.2% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 65.55%
    Elche 13.71%
    Draw 20.72%
Real ValladolidDrawElche
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 12.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.25% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.04% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.59% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 65.55%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 20.72%
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.91% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 13.71%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Elche

Real Valladolid
83.6%
Draw
13.7%
Elche
2.7%
73
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2021 8pm
Elche
1-1
Valladolid
Fidel (22')
Milla (26'), Marcone (37'), Calvo (72'), Gonzalo (84'), Rigoni (90+2')
Olaza (86')
Kodro (12'), Fernandez (52'), Janko (67')
Jan 19, 2021 6pm
Valladolid
2-2
Elche
Michel (71'), Fernandez (89')
Fede (39')
Mesa (90+1')
Josan (9', 43')
Josema (51'), Cifu (85'), Milla (90+4')
Dec 18, 2014 7pm
Elche
1-0
Valladolid
Gonzalez (7')
Herrera (36'), Pelegrín (59'), Roco (76'), Suarez (87'), Tyton (90')

Sastre (36'), Timor (82'), Ramos (90'), Carmona (90')
Timor (90')
Dec 2, 2014 9pm
Feb 9, 2014 4pm
Valladolid
2-2
Elche
Osorio (71', 78')
Rossi (68'), Rueda (89')
Corominas (34'), Del Moral (66')
Moreno Marquez (37'), Botia (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
18CadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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