Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Espanyol |
54.87% ( 1.29) | 25.17% ( -0.2) | 19.96% ( -1.09) |
Both teams to score 45.36% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.84% ( -0.42) | 56.15% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.78% ( -0.34) | 77.22% ( 0.34) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% ( 0.36) | 20.47% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.07% ( 0.56) | 52.93% ( -0.56) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.04% ( -1.42) | 42.96% ( 1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.74% ( -1.22) | 79.26% ( 1.22) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 13.94% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.35% Total : 54.86% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.9% Total : 19.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |