Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Sevilla | 3 | -2 | 1 |
16 | Espanyol | 2 | -2 | 1 |
17 | Real Valladolid | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Villarreal | 2 | 5 | 6 |
4 | Real Madrid | 2 | 4 | 6 |
5 | Osasuna | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Real Madrid |
18.76% ( -0.47) | 22.69% ( -0.13) | 58.54% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 50.62% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.85% ( -0.15) | 48.14% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.7% ( -0.14) | 70.3% ( 0.13) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.36% ( -0.61) | 39.64% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.68% ( -0.57) | 76.32% ( 0.57) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.87% ( 0.15) | 16.13% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.45% ( 0.27) | 45.55% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Real Madrid |
1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.76% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.69% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.64% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.95% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 58.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |