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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Atletico Madrid logo

Cadiz
3 - 2
Atletico

Bongonda (1'), Fernandez (81'), Sobrino (90+9')
Fede (65'), Chust (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hernandez (85' og.), Felix (89')
Kondogbia (62'), Niguez (78'), Cunha (90'), Felix (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 5-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 22 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Cadiz 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Cadiz are a very difficult side to back at the moment due to their struggles, and it is perhaps the worst time to play Atletico, who will be desperate to overcome their European disappointment. We are not expecting a game full of goals but believe that the visitors will have more than enough to secure a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
16.77% (-0.064 -0.06) 23.5% (-0.067 -0.07) 59.73% (0.135 0.13)
Both teams to score 44.65% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.78% (0.15 0.15)54.22% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (0.125 0.13)75.62% (-0.121 -0.12)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.36% (0.0019999999999953 0)45.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)81.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (0.104 0.1)17.87% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (0.177 0.18)48.65% (-0.174 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 16.77%
    Atletico Madrid 59.73%
    Draw 23.5%
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 16.77%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.16% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 14.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 12.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.94% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.44% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.99% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.73%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Atletico

Cadiz
14.3%
Draw
6.1%
Atletico Madrid
79.6%
98
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 8pm
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Gimenez (87')
Cala (21'), Gil (45+1'), Fali (45+1')
Morata (13'), Niguez (45'), Wass (46'), Griezmann (51')
Griezmann (56')
Mar 11, 2022 8pm
Atletico
2-1
Cadiz
Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')
Serrano (88')
Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')
Nov 28, 2021 5.30pm
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Oblak (86' og.)
Fernandez (24'), Jonsson (82')
Lemar (56'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (76'), Cunha (86')
Jan 31, 2021 3.15pm
Cadiz
2-4
Atletico
Negredo (35', 71')
Izquierdo (40')
Suarez (28', 50'), Niguez (44'), Koke (88')
Torreira (38'), Felix (41'), Vrsaljko (73'), Koke (76'), Kondogbia (85')
Nov 7, 2020 8pm
Atletico
4-0
Cadiz
Felix (8', 90'), Llorente (22'), Suarez (51')
Kondogbia (85')

Jonsson (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia37139153843-548
10Osasuna38129174556-1145
11AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
RCadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3849253879-4121
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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