Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
16.77% ( -0.06) | 23.5% ( -0.07) | 59.73% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 44.65% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.78% ( 0.15) | 54.22% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.38% ( 0.13) | 75.62% ( -0.12) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.36% ( 0) | 45.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.56% ( 0) | 81.44% ( 0) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% ( 0.1) | 17.87% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.35% ( 0.18) | 48.65% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 16.77% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 14.04% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.94% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |