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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Atletico Madrid logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Atletico

Berenguer (8'), Martinez (86')
Sancet (44'), Vencedor (61'), Garcia (66'), Lopez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Savic (77')
Llorente (11'), Torreira (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
23.21%26.62%50.18%
Both teams to score 45.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81%58.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16%78.84%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23%40.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65%77.35%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69%23.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75%57.26%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 23.21%
    Atletico Madrid 50.17%
    Draw 26.61%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.53%
2-1 @ 5.57%
2-0 @ 3.83%
3-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.21%
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 23.21%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 13.84%
0-2 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-3 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.17%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico

Athletic Bilbao
19.5%
Draw
18.7%
Atletico Madrid
61.8%
123
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 18
Atletico
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Llorente (45+2'), Suarez (51' pen.)
Felipe (43'), Lodi (90+4')
Muniain (21')
de Marcos (38'), Vesga (41')
Jun 14, 2020 1pm
Oct 26, 2019 8pm
Mar 16, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Atletico
Williams (73'), Kodro (85')
Garcia (37'), San Jose (77'), Alvarez (82')

Rodrigo (45')
Nov 10, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Atletico
3-2
Athletic Bilbao
Partey (61'), Rodri (80'), Godin (90')
Costa (38'), Kalinic (66'), Vitolo (66'), Adan (66'), Correa (90')
Williams (36', 64')
Etxebarria (49'), San Jose (82'), de Marcos (86'), Martinez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia37139153843-548
10Osasuna38129174556-1145
11AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Mallorca38816143344-1140
15Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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