Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
23.21% | 26.62% | 50.18% |
Both teams to score 45.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.81% | 58.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.16% | 78.84% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.23% | 40.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.65% | 77.35% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% | 23.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.75% | 57.26% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.53% 2-1 @ 5.57% 2-0 @ 3.83% 3-1 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.21% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.21% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 13.84% 0-2 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-3 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 4.39% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.59% Total : 50.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |