Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Villarreal |
31.11% ( 0.39) | 24.99% ( 0.32) | 43.91% ( -0.71) |
Both teams to score 56.3% ( -0.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.11% ( -1.26) | 46.9% ( 1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.85% ( -1.19) | 69.15% ( 1.19) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.62% ( -0.37) | 28.38% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.88% ( -0.46) | 64.13% ( 0.47) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.62% ( -0.84) | 21.38% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.64% ( -1.31) | 54.37% ( 1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.11% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |