MX23RW : Monday, May 20 04:51:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 at 8am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

Mateus (45' pen.), Junker (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sato (65' pen.)
Mae (19'), Maejima (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 3 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, June 3 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka

Nagoya Grampus will be considered the favourites heading into this match due to their league positions and considering the recent form and the struggles Avispa Fukuoka have displayed on the road, it should lead to the hosts taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawAvispa Fukuoka
50.15% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 28.36% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 21.49% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 39.39% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)65% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.11% (-0.061 -0.06)83.89% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)26.37% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.47% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)61.52% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.5% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)46.49% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.9% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)82.1% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 50.15%
    Avispa Fukuoka 21.49%
    Draw 28.35%
Nagoya GrampusDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 16.34% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 50.15%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 12.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka

Nagoya Grampus
100%
Draw
0.0%
Avispa Fukuoka
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 11am
gameweek 28
Avispa Fukuoka
2-3
Nagoya Grampus
Croux (21'), Hiratsuka (57')
Nara (90+1')
Miya (67')
Morishita (2'), Nagai (24', 38')
May 25, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 15
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Nakatani (15')
Tiago (43')

Lukian (25'), Mae (28'), Yanagi (67')
Aug 22, 2021 10am
gameweek 25
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Swierczok (49')
Naruse (34')

Salomonsson (64'), Grolli (90+1')
Feb 28, 2021 4am
gameweek 1
Avispa Fukuoka
1-2
Nagoya Grampus
Kanamori (82')
Mateus (4', 55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia15102325111432
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1592424111329
3Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers159242417729
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka157441411325
5Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus158161816225
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa157352520524
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo156542117423
8FC Tokyo156542624223
9Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1457225141122
10Kashiwa ReysolReysol145631616021
11Avispa Fukuoka154741316-319
12Tokyo Verdy153932023-318
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama134541818017
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki154472223-116
15Albirex Niigata154471823-516
16Jubilo Iwata154381922-315
17Sagan Tosu154292127-614
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare153572027-714
19Consadole SapporoConsadole152581328-1511
20Kyoto Sanga1523101129-189


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