Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
