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USA national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jul 26, 2021 at 2.30am UK
AT&T Stadium
Jamaica national football team

USA
1 - 0
Jamaica

Hoppe (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Burke (30'), Turgott (50'), Lowe (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between USA and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 52.03%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for USA in this match.

Result
USADrawJamaica
52.03%23.71%24.26%
Both teams to score 55.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.07%45.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.76%68.24%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35%17.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.74%48.26%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.99%33.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.4%69.6%
Score Analysis
    USA 52.02%
    Jamaica 24.26%
    Draw 23.71%
USADrawJamaica
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 8.76%
3-1 @ 5.62%
3-0 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 52.02%
1-1 @ 11.2%
0-0 @ 5.83%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.46%
1-2 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 3.58%
1-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 24.26%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2021 5.20pm
Friendlies 1
USA
4-1
Jamaica
Dest (34'), Aaronson (53'), Lletget (83', 90')
Cannon (48')
Lowe (71')
Jul 4, 2019 2am
Semi-Finals
Jamaica
1-3
USA
Nicholson (69')
Watson (39'), Flemmings (43'), Vassell (49')
McKennie (9'), Pulisic (52', 87')
McKennie (31'), Altidore (43')
Jun 6, 2019 12am
International Friendlies
USA
0-1
Jamaica
Nicholson (60')
Jul 22, 2015 11pm
Semi-Finals
USA
1-2
Jamaica
Bradley (48')
Yedlin (89')
Mattocks (31'), Barnes (35')
> Match Report
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