Neither Leeds nor Cardiff have the ingredients for a recipe for success right now, but if Whitehead can bring the new manager bounce to Elland Road with him, a leaky Whites side could be in for a tricky evening.
Marsch's men tend to find their golden touch in front of their own supporters, though, and with some high-quality attacking players ready to make an impact off the bench, Leeds should book their place in round four, although they may require 120 minutes to do so.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.07) 
