FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry1 - 0Derby
We said: Coventry City 1-2 Derby County
Despite their attentions being elsewhere, both teams will want to make progress in this competition. With no replays during the third round, there will be a desire to get things done in 90 minutes, but we are backing the visitors to prevail after extra time. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 47.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coventry City in this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Derby County |
47.2% | 26.41% | 26.39% |
Both teams to score 48.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.79% | 55.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.56% | 76.44% |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% | 23.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% | 57.37% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.76% | 36.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.97% | 73.03% |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City 47.19%
Derby County 26.39%
Draw 26.41%
Coventry City | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 8.95% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.19% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.56% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.39% |
How you voted: Coventry vs Derby
Coventry City
36.5%Draw
9.6%Derby County
53.8%52
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Coventry
1-0
Derby
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Derby
1-1
Coventry
Jul 25, 2018 7.45pm
Jan 14, 2012 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-25 15:13:36
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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