Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Sheriff
Sheriff Tiraspol2 - 0Braga
We said: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-1 Braga
Sheriff shown enough during their Champions League fixtures that they will not be overawed by a game of this magnitude. Nevertheless, Braga are always dark horses at this level, and we feel that the Portuguese outfit will do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.66% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.31%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Braga |
| 42.38% | 19.96% | 37.66% |
| Both teams to score 77.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
