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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.64%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen |
53.64% | 21.45% | 24.91% |
Both teams to score 63.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.2% | 34.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.23% | 56.77% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.85% | 13.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.17% | 39.84% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.53% | 26.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.34% | 61.66% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 7.16% 1-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 6.44% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 4.28% 4-1 @ 3.27% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 2.17% 5-1 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.64% | 1-1 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 3.48% 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-1 @ 4.63% 0-2 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 0.93% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.19% Total : 24.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |