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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-3 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
18.63% | 19.35% | 62.02% |
Both teams to score 62.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.99% | 33.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.26% | 54.73% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.18% | 30.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.91% | 67.09% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.7% | 10.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.3% | 33.7% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5% 1-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.23% 2-0 @ 2.2% 3-1 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.51% Total : 18.63% | 1-1 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 5.68% 0-0 @ 3.17% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.35% | 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-2 @ 8.2% 1-3 @ 7.32% 0-1 @ 7.21% 0-3 @ 6.21% 2-3 @ 4.31% 1-4 @ 4.16% 0-4 @ 3.53% 2-4 @ 2.45% 1-5 @ 1.89% 0-5 @ 1.61% 2-5 @ 1.11% 3-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.41% Total : 62.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |