Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
