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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 78.03%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for had a probability of 8.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a win it was 1-2 (2.58%).
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Willem II |
78.03% | 13.51% | 8.45% |
Both teams to score 53.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.36% | 29.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.24% | 50.76% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.92% | 6.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.89% | 23.11% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.68% | 43.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.44% | 79.55% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Willem II |
2-0 @ 10.32% 3-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 8.07% 1-0 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 6.75% 4-1 @ 5.65% 5-0 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 3.38% 5-1 @ 3.17% 4-2 @ 2.36% 6-0 @ 1.77% 6-1 @ 1.48% 5-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 4.32% Total : 78.03% | 1-1 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 3.62% 0-0 @ 2.63% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.51% | 1-2 @ 2.58% 0-1 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.01% 0-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.74% Total : 8.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |