EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport1 - 2Forest Green
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Newport County and Forest Green Rovers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Barrow
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Harrogate Town | 9 | -5 | 8 |
19 | Newport County | 9 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley Town | 9 | -5 | 6 |
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Morecambe
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | -6 | 8 |
22 | Forest Green Rovers | 9 | -10 | 8 |
23 | Morecambe | 9 | -10 | 7 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
36.56% ( 0.08) | 25.32% ( -0.01) | 38.12% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 56.59% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.85% ( 0.06) | 47.15% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.61% ( 0.05) | 69.38% ( -0.05) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.8% ( 0.07) | 25.2% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.07% ( 0.1) | 59.93% ( -0.1) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.66% ( -0.01) | 24.34% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.26% ( -0.02) | 58.74% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County 36.56%
Forest Green Rovers 38.12%
Draw 25.32%
Newport County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.56% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.12% |
How you voted: Newport vs Forest Green
Newport County
20.0%Draw
40.0%Forest Green Rovers
40.0%5
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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