EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Newcastle0 - 0Crystal Palace
Newcastle win 3-2 on penalties
The Match
Match Report
Newcastle United overcome fellow Premier League side Crystal Palace on penalties to advance to the fourth round of the EFL Cup.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Newcastle
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-2 Crystal Palace
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
53.73% ( -0.15) | 23.53% ( -0) | 22.74% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 53.93% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.3% ( 0.18) | 46.7% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.04% ( 0.17) | 68.96% ( -0.17) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.69% ( 0.01) | 17.3% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.34% ( 0.02) | 47.66% ( -0.02) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.22% ( 0.24) | 34.78% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.49% ( 0.26) | 71.51% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United 53.72%
Crystal Palace 22.74%
Draw 23.53%
Newcastle United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.77% Total : 53.72% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 22.74% |
How you voted: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace
Newcastle United
86.2%Draw
7.6%Crystal Palace
6.2%145
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-26 09:37:34
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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