MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 23:27:54| >> :600:781889:781889:
Bolton logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Bolton
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Charles (23')
Forrester (51'), Thomason (58'), Iredale (70'), Ashworth (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Crooks (33'), McGree (90+1'), Rogers (90+4')
Jones (47'), Crooks (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bolton Wanderers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Middlesbrough

This is a difficult match to call, as both managers will make a number of changes. Bolton have certainly enjoyed the stronger start to the campaign, but we believe that Boro's superior quality will allow them to progress to the third round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawMiddlesbrough
37.89%24.59% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 37.52%
Both teams to score 59.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.28%43.72% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.89%66.11% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32%56.68% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)23.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.03%56.96% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 37.89%
    Middlesbrough 37.52%
    Draw 24.59%
Bolton WanderersDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.42%
1-0 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 5.75%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 3.03%
3-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.89%
1-1 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-1 @ 7.76%
0-2 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.1%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 37.52%

How you voted: Bolton vs Middlesbrough

Bolton Wanderers
44.2%
Draw
23.3%
Middlesbrough
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 41
Bolton
0-2
Middlesbrough
Fletcher (16', 28')
Sep 19, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Middlesbrough
2-0
Bolton
Saville (34'), Assombalonga (90')
Downing (65')

Magennis (64'), Lowe (68'), Wheater (80'), Williams (93')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Apr 16, 2016 12.30pm
Bolton
1-2
Middlesbrough
Vela (61')
Davies (64'), Amos (80'), Vela (84')
Rhodes (73', 91')
Nsue (33'), Ayala (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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