Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and NAC Breda.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | NAC Breda |
31.05% | 23.69% | 45.26% |
Both teams to score 60.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59% | 41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.61% | 63.39% |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.48% | 25.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.63% | 60.36% |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.61% | 18.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.47% | 49.53% |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior 31.05%
NAC Breda 45.26%
Draw 23.69%
SBV Excelsior | Draw | NAC Breda |
2-1 @ 7.41% 1-0 @ 6.41% 2-0 @ 4.38% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.05% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.73% 1-3 @ 5.19% 0-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.57% Total : 45.26% |
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 24
Excelsior
2-2
NAC Breda
Sep 20, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 7
NAC Breda
2-1
Excelsior
Apr 3, 2019 6.45pm
Feb 11, 2018 1.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-18 03:21:35
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Willem II | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 79 |
2 | Groningen | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 71 | 30 | 41 | 75 |
3 | Roda JC | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 75 |
4 | Dordrecht | 38 | 18 | 15 | 5 | 74 | 51 | 23 | 69 |
5 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 50 | 22 | 63 |
6 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 38 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 61 | 52 | 9 | 63 |
7 | EmmenEmmen | 38 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 57 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 56 |
9 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 56 |
10 | Jong AZJong AZ | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 56 |
11 | Helmond SportHelmond | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 51 |
12 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 48 |
13 | Cambuur | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 47 |
14 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 43 |
15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 40 |
16 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 63 | 81 | -18 | 40 |
17 | TelstarTelstar | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 47 | 68 | -21 | 35 |
18 | TOP OssOss | 38 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 34 |
19 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 33 |
20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 32 | 74 | -42 | 26 |
> Eerste Divisie Full Table |
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