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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 11, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón
Independiente

Racing
1 - 0
Independiente

Copetti (90+7' pen.)
Dominguez (12'), Moreno (87'), Jose Caceres (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bustos (60'), Ignacio Pacchini (76'), Rodriguez (90+8')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Racing Club and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing Club in this match.

Result
Racing ClubDrawIndependiente
40.92%26.98%32.11%
Both teams to score 50.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.17%54.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87%76.13%
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65%26.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.5%61.5%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31%31.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89%68.12%
Score Analysis
    Racing Club 40.92%
    Independiente 32.11%
    Draw 26.97%
Racing ClubDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-0 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.92%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 7.35%
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 32.11%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2020 10.40pm
Gameweek 19
Racing
1-0
Independiente
Diaz (86')
Martinez (88'), Cvitanich (90')
Arias (40'), Sigali (46')

Sanchez Mino (33'), Bustos (52'), Romero (60'), Franco (78')
Dominguez (89'), Romero (90')
Feb 24, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 20
Independiente
1-3
Racing
Gaibor (45')
Silva (29'), Campana (45'), Franco (53'), Hernandez (62'), Gaibor (67')
Burdisso (5' og.), Lopez (54' pen.), Zaracho (94')
Sigali (8'), Diaz (33'), Arias (45'), Zaracho (49'), Soto (51'), Lopez (77')
rhs 2.0
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